Neftchi vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
XOR
2 - 8
NEF
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
NEF
2 - 1
BUX
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
MAS
1 - 0
NEF
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
DSA
0 - 1
NEF
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
NEF
1 - 0
MET
67%
19%
15%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
QIZ
2 - 3
TTA
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
SAR
1 - 3
QIZ
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
QIZ
1 - 0
FKL
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2006 |
SOG
0 - 2
QIZ
34%
27%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
QIZ
5 - 1
AND
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |