Neftchi vs Nasaf Qarshi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
27.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
5º
48
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
NAV
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 2
NEF
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
NEF
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
QIZ
1 - 1
NEF
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FKO
0 - 0
NEF
40%
29%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NAS
2 - 0
OLM
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MAS
0 - 0
NAS
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SOG
1 - 2
NAS
40%
29%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
MET
1 - 2
NAS
28%
29%
43%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NAS
0 - 0
NAV
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |