Neftchi vs Nasaf Qarshi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
DSA
0 - 1
NEF
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
NEF
0 - 3
NAV
65%
19%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2004 |
SOJ
0 - 2
NEF
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
NEF
4 - 0
QIZ
66%
18%
16%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
BUX
0 - 4
NEF
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
NAS
4 - 0
TER
60%
20%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
AND
1 - 2
NAS
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2004 |
NAS
7 - 0
53%
23%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2004 |
FKL
2 - 0
NAS
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
NAS
2 - 1
MAS
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |