Liga MX Sub 15 - Clausura Temporada Regular round 11

Necaxa U15 vs Toluca U15 analysis

Necaxa U15 Toluca U15
46 ELO 55
-4% Tilt -4.7%
5365º General ELO ranking 3810º
84º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
25.2%
Necaxa U15
26.5%
Draw
48.4%
Toluca U15

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
Necaxa U15
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.4%
Win probability
Toluca U15
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Necaxa U15
-37%
+6%
Toluca U15

ELO progression

Necaxa U15
Toluca U15
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Necaxa U15
Necaxa U15
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2025
AME
América U15
1 - 0
Necaxa U15
NCX
68%
20%
13%
46 56 10 0
08 Mar. 2025
NCX
Necaxa U15
0 - 2
Pachuca U15
PAC
27%
24%
48%
47 52 5 -1
01 Mar. 2025
TOL
Toluca U15
6 - 0
Necaxa U15
NCX
63%
21%
16%
48 55 7 -1
22 Feb. 2025
CAZ
Cruz Azul U15
1 - 2
Necaxa U15
NCX
47%
25%
28%
47 48 1 +1
15 Feb. 2025
NCX
Necaxa U15
2 - 2
Querétaro U15
QRT
57%
23%
20%
47 41 6 0

Matches

Toluca U15
Toluca U15
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2025
TOL
Toluca U15
2 - 0
Querétaro U15
QRT
79%
14%
7%
55 39 16 0
08 Mar. 2025
JUA
FC Juárez U15
2 - 0
Toluca U15
TOL
31%
25%
43%
56 42 14 -1
01 Mar. 2025
TOL
Toluca U15
6 - 0
Necaxa U15
NCX
63%
21%
16%
55 48 7 +1
22 Feb. 2025
TOL
Toluca U15
1 - 0
Pumas UNAM U15
PUN
64%
21%
15%
54 47 7 +1
15 Feb. 2025
PBL
Puebla U15
1 - 1
Toluca U15
TOL
16%
23%
61%
54 37 17 0