Naxxar Lions FC vs Melita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
4º
2º
34
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NAX
0 - 2
SLI
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ZUR
0 - 5
NAX
17%
22%
61%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
NAX
2 - 1
TAR
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ZEJ
1 - 2
NAX
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
NAX
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 3
ZEJ
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SLI
1 - 0
MEL
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
ZUR
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TAR
3 - 0
MEL
52%
23%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
NAX
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |