Naxxar Lions FC vs Melita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
4º
2º
34
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NAX
0 - 2
SLI
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ZUR
0 - 5
NAX
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
NAX
2 - 1
TAR
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ZEJ
1 - 2
NAX
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
NAX
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 3
ZEJ
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SLI
1 - 0
MEL
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
ZUR
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TAR
3 - 0
MEL
52%
23%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
NAX
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |