Malta League Second Stage Round 4

Naxxar Lions FC vs Hibernians analysis

Naxxar Lions FC Hibernians
48 ELO 72
12.3% Tilt 10%
2254º General ELO ranking 1698º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
9.3%
Naxxar Lions FC
15.8%
Draw
74.9%
Hibernians

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
Naxxar Lions FC
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
74.8%
Win probability
Hibernians
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Naxxar Lions FC
-5%
+15%
Hibernians

ELO progression

Naxxar Lions FC
Hibernians
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Naxxar Lions FC
Naxxar Lions FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2016
VAL
Valletta FC
4 - 0
Naxxar Lions FC
NAX
75%
17%
8%
49 71 22 0
27 Feb. 2016
NAX
Naxxar Lions FC
0 - 3
Tarxien Rainbows
TAR
25%
25%
50%
50 62 12 -1
20 Feb. 2016
FLO
Floriana FC
4 - 0
Naxxar Lions FC
NAX
69%
19%
12%
51 64 13 -1
13 Feb. 2016
SLI
Sliema Wanderers
1 - 2
Naxxar Lions FC
NAX
62%
21%
17%
50 58 8 +1
05 Feb. 2016
NAX
Naxxar Lions FC
0 - 1
Saint Andrews
SAI
59%
21%
20%
50 44 6 0

Matches

Hibernians
Hibernians
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2016
HIB
Hibernians
1 - 1
Sliema Wanderers
SLI
75%
16%
10%
71 58 13 0
28 Feb. 2016
SAI
Saint Andrews
1 - 4
Hibernians
HIB
7%
14%
78%
71 46 25 0
23 Feb. 2016
ELP
Aalesunds FK
4 - 1
Hibernians
HIB
40%
23%
37%
72 74 2 -1
20 Feb. 2016
HIB
Hibernians
6 - 0
Qormi FC
QOR
85%
11%
4%
71 47 24 +1
14 Feb. 2016
BIR
Birkirkara
0 - 2
Hibernians
HIB
36%
25%
39%
71 71 0 0