Náxara vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 1
NAX
12%
22%
66%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NAX
2 - 1
RIV
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CDF
2 - 3
NAX
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NAX
2 - 1
PRA
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 0
NAX
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
OYO
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 1
VIL
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
CLH
15%
21%
65%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 0
VIL
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
5 - 4
SMC
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |