Naviraiense vs Itaporã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
7DE
0 - 0
NAV
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 0
COR
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 6
NAV
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
3 - 1
COM
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
AGU
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Itaporã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 0
MIS
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CEN
2 - 2
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
ITA
23%
24%
54%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
5 - 2
CAM
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
ITA
21%
23%
57%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |