Navia CF vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+888%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
NAI
4 - 0
CSI
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 1
NAI
38%
21%
41%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NAI
1 - 2
MIR
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TRE
1 - 0
NAI
53%
20%
27%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
PDV
2 - 1
NAI
27%
20%
53%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 3
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
TRE
21%
20%
59%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PDV
3 - 1
CAS
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
SEP
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RVL
1 - 5
CAS
16%
18%
67%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |