PFL Round 1

Navbahor vs Qizilqum analysis

Navbahor Qizilqum
70 ELO 68
-22.4% Tilt -19%
2055º General ELO ranking 2365º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
36.2%
Navbahor
29.9%
Draw
33.9%
Qizilqum

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
Navbahor
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
33.9%
Win probability
Qizilqum
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Navbahor
+16%
-20%
Qizilqum

Points and table prediction

Navbahor
Their league position
Qizilqum
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
25
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Pakhtakor
53
53
100%
Nasaf Qarshi
48
48
100%
Navbahor
47
47
100%
FC AGMK
46
46
100%
Neftchi
45
45
100%
Andijon
40
40
100%
Surkhon Termez
40
40
100%
Bunyodkor
37
37
100%
FK Olympic
31
31
100%
Metallurg Bekabad
10º
30
30
10º
100%
Sogdiana
11º
27
27
11º
100%
Qizilqum
12º
25
25
12º
100%
FK Turon
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Buxoro
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Navbahor
Qizilqum
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Navbahor
Qizilqum
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Navbahor
Navbahor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2023
BAL
Baltika
0 - 0
Navbahor
NAV
47%
27%
27%
69 72 3 0
12 Feb. 2023
UFA
Ufa
1 - 1
Navbahor
NAV
31%
27%
41%
69 64 5 0
02 Feb. 2023
YEN
Yenisey
0 - 1
Navbahor
NAV
47%
25%
28%
69 67 2 0
01 Feb. 2023
FCR
Rubin Kazán
6 - 0
Navbahor
NAV
60%
22%
18%
70 74 4 -1
28 Jan. 2023
SEP
Septemvri Sofia
2 - 4
Navbahor
NAV
52%
24%
24%
69 68 1 +1

Matches

Qizilqum
Qizilqum
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
QIZ
Qizilqum
2 - 1
Sogdiana
SOG
41%
27%
32%
68 69 1 0
07 Nov. 2022
PAK
Pakhtakor
6 - 0
Qizilqum
QIZ
50%
25%
25%
69 69 0 -1
02 Nov. 2022
QIZ
Qizilqum
1 - 1
Kokand 1912
QOQ
47%
26%
27%
69 66 3 0
24 Oct. 2022
TER
Surkhon Termez
2 - 0
Qizilqum
QIZ
30%
28%
43%
69 60 9 0
19 Oct. 2022
QIZ
Qizilqum
1 - 2
Nasaf Qarshi
NAS
45%
28%
28%
69 69 0 0