Navbahor vs FC AGMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
9º
6º
34
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 54 |
1º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 54 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 52 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 39 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 29 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
10.5% | 23.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
10.5% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 57% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
NAS
1 - 0
NAV
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
NAV
3 - 0
QOQ
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
BUN
2 - 3
NAV
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
NAV
3 - 1
FAR
82%
14%
5%
|
67 | 11 | 56 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
NAV
1 - 0
XOR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
OLM
0 - 0
SHO
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
NAS
2 - 1
OLM
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
OLM
2 - 2
NEF
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
OLM
12 - 1
NFA
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
QOQ
1 - 3
OLM
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |