PFL round 18

Navbahor vs FC AGMK analysis

Navbahor FC AGMK
68 ELO 67
-23.5% Tilt -15%
2011º General ELO ranking 1998º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.1%
Navbahor
29.2%
Draw
30.6%
FC AGMK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
Navbahor
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
30.6%
Win probability
FC AGMK
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Navbahor
+20%
+16%
FC AGMK

Points and table prediction

Navbahor
Their league position
FC AGMK
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
46
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Pakhtakor
53
53
100%
Nasaf Qarshi
48
48
100%
Navbahor
47
47
100%
FC AGMK
46
46
100%
Neftchi
45
45
100%
Andijon
40
40
100%
Surkhon Termez
40
40
100%
Bunyodkor
37
37
100%
FK Olympic
31
31
100%
Metallurg Bekabad
10º
30
30
10º
100%
Sogdiana
11º
27
27
11º
100%
Qizilqum
12º
25
25
12º
100%
FK Turon
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Buxoro
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Navbahor
FC AGMK
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Navbahor
FC AGMK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Navbahor
Navbahor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
SOG
Sogdiana
2 - 1
Navbahor
NAV
38%
29%
33%
69 65 4 0
14 Aug. 2023
ORO
Aral Nukus
0 - 2
Navbahor
NAV
10%
19%
70%
68 34 34 +1
10 Aug. 2023
NAV
Navbahor
1 - 2
Pakhtakor
PAK
36%
29%
35%
69 69 0 -1
04 Aug. 2023
MET
Metallurg Bekabad
1 - 1
Navbahor
NAV
27%
29%
44%
69 59 10 0
30 Jul. 2023
QIZ
Qizilqum
1 - 2
Navbahor
NAV
31%
29%
40%
69 61 8 0

Matches

FC AGMK
FC AGMK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
OLM
FC AGMK
1 - 1
Neftchi
NEF
51%
24%
24%
67 69 2 0
11 Aug. 2023
OLM
FC AGMK
2 - 1
FK Olympic
FKO
54%
23%
23%
66 65 1 +1
06 Aug. 2023
BUN
Bunyodkor
1 - 1
FC AGMK
OLM
40%
27%
33%
67 64 3 -1
02 Aug. 2023
OLM
FC AGMK
2 - 1
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
FKL
51%
22%
28%
66 67 1 +1
29 Jul. 2023
OLM
FC AGMK
2 - 3
Surkhon Termez
TER
68%
19%
13%
67 60 7 -1