Navata vs Portbou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
71.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 0
NAV
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
NAV
0 - 1
PAT
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
NAV
1 - 2
BOR
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
NAV
3 - 1
BOR
42%
22%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RSS
4 - 0
NAV
68%
18%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Portbou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
POR
5 - 1
ROC
27%
21%
53%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CIS
0 - 4
POR
25%
21%
55%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
RSS
42%
24%
34%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAD
1 - 2
POR
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
POR
4 - 1
BAS
65%
19%
16%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |