Las Navas vs Atlético Candeleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Navas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LAS
1 - 2
AVI
38%
24%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
LAS
1 - 5
ESR
14%
21%
65%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
VDB
6 - 0
LAS
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LAS
0 - 4
CAT
13%
19%
68%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CUE
5 - 0
LAS
78%
14%
7%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 3
SAL
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 2
CAS
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
UNA
5 - 1
ATL
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
AVI
2 - 3
ATL
19%
22%
59%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 4
VDB
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |