Navarro vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
LEA
0 - 3
NAV
55%
25%
21%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 3
CEA
47%
26%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
MOS
1 - 2
NAV
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 1
LLA
28%
28%
44%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 0
AVI
39%
27%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
UPL
1 - 2
AVI
66%
22%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
0 - 1
UPL
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
UPL
3 - 4
AST
69%
20%
11%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
TUI
0 - 3
UPL
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
UPL
1 - 2
RIB
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |