Navarro vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
RIB
2 - 0
NAV
59%
24%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 1
UNI
21%
25%
54%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
OVI
2 - 0
NAV
76%
16%
7%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 0
CUD
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
TAP
0 - 1
NAV
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
SPB
1 - 0
UPL
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LEA
0 - 3
SPB
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SPB
3 - 0
SIE
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AVI
1 - 2
SPB
40%
27%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
SPB
4 - 3
COL
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |