Navarro vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
0 - 0
NAV
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
AST
2 - 4
NAV
40%
27%
34%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 1
GIN
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
TUI
23%
25%
52%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
RIB
2 - 1
NAV
48%
27%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
AVI
0 - 0
LLA
31%
28%
42%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
0 - 3
AVI
36%
26%
39%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
AVI
1 - 1
AST
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
TUI
0 - 0
AVI
65%
21%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
AVI
3 - 0
RIB
44%
27%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |