Navarro vs Llanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 2
NAV
61%
23%
16%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 2
LEA
37%
27%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 1
GIN
44%
26%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LUA
0 - 0
NAV
36%
27%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAI
2 - 1
NAV
54%
23%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Llanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 0
ROB
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
COL
1 - 3
LLA
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 1
TUI
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
LLA
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 1
GIN
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |