Navarro vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AVI
0 - 1
NAV
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 1
42%
25%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
RIB
0 - 2
NAV
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 1
PRA
68%
20%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
NAV
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LEA
2 - 0
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PRA
0 - 0
LEA
30%
26%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
LEA
0 - 1
ROB
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TUI
2 - 1
LEA
77%
14%
8%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LEA
1 - 2
MAR
13%
22%
65%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |