Navalmoral vs CD Ciconia Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navalmoral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MIA
0 - 3
NAV
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 2
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TAL
1 - 2
NAV
54%
21%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
3 - 1
MOR
64%
20%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 1
NAV
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ciconia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CDC
1 - 2
CPL
33%
23%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
4 - 1
CDC
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CDC
1 - 0
CDD
13%
18%
70%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
5 - 0
CDC
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CDC
2 - 1
CHI
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |