Naval vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
BMA
2 - 1
NAV
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
NAV
3 - 2
MOR
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 3
NAV
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
NAV
1 - 0
AVE
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
FEL
4 - 0
NAV
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAI
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
UNI
0 - 2
PEN
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
PEN
2 - 2
CHA
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
PEN
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
PEN
4 - 0
ESP
77%
16%
8%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |