Naval vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
8 - 0
NAV
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 0
CRA
57%
21%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
NAV
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 1
ALC
27%
27%
46%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ADM
3 - 4
NAV
45%
23%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FAF
0 - 2
POR
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
FAF
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FAF
0 - 0
LEX
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FAF
0 - 2
SAN
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OLH
2 - 3
FAF
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |