Naval vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
NAV
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
5 - 1
NAV
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -3 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 2
VIT
40%
25%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
NAV
59%
24%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADM
51%
23%
27%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
SER
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAL
14%
24%
62%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
CRA
69%
21%
10%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAL
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALC
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |