Naval vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 0
NAV
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 1
AVE
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SPC
0 - 2
NAV
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 1
POR
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LEX
0 - 2
NAV
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
ARO
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 0
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
EST
5 - 0
ATL
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
BEL
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |