CDS Naval vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
EVE
3 - 1
NTA
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
NTA
0 - 1
CDM
71%
19%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
OVA
0 - 1
NTA
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
ULC
0 - 1
NTA
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
DLS
1 - 3
NTA
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 1
ULC
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
DLS
2 - 1
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 0
PUE
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 2
OVA
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
53%
23%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |