CDS Naval vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
MAG
0 - 2
NTA
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
DLS
0 - 0
NTA
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
NTA
0 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
ULC
2 - 2
NTA
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
NTA
1 - 0
ANT
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
UCO
1 - 2
DLS
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 0
UCO
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 2
ULC
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
ANT
3 - 2
UCO
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
UCO
3 - 1
CDM
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |