CDS Naval vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
NTA
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NTA
1 - 4
BAR
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
USF
3 - 0
NTA
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NTA
0 - 1
MAG
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 0
SAN
27%
28%
46%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
LOT
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 4
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CUR
2 - 1
CON
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
DLS
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |