CD Naval vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
NAV
50%
24%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 2
GIM
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 1
NAV
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 2
RAC
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
COL
0 - 0
NAV
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 2
TEX
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ESC
3 - 1
RAY
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
ESC
45%
26%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 3
GIM
16%
24%
60%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 1
ESC
47%
25%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |