CD Naval vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SEL
1 - 0
NAV
60%
20%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 0
COM
31%
24%
45%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AYR
3 - 1
NAV
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 1
SAN
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
NAV
51%
24%
26%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 3
SAM
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 2
SEL
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 1
AYR
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAM
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
COL
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |