CD Naval vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
49.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
DEV
7 - 0
NAV
70%
21%
9%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
RAY
1 - 1
NAV
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
NAV
0 - 4
MIN
60%
22%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
NAV
0 - 2
TEX
39%
27%
34%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
PON
6 - 0
NAV
66%
20%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
REV
3 - 1
RAY
34%
27%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
REV
1 - 2
TEX
39%
28%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
CAS
2 - 1
REV
68%
20%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
REV
1 - 1
REO
23%
28%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
BAR
2 - 0
REV
70%
20%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |