CD Naval vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
ATH
1 - 0
NAV
86%
11%
3%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
NAV
0 - 2
ARO
64%
22%
15%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
CAU
2 - 0
NAV
66%
23%
11%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
NAV
0 - 1
RCF
45%
32%
24%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
GIM
0 - 2
NAV
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
GER
1 - 0
COM
49%
30%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
LUG
1 - 1
GER
59%
27%
14%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
GER
0 - 1
GRA
59%
26%
15%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
UPL
2 - 0
GER
66%
23%
12%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
GER
1 - 0
SPB
47%
30%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |