CD Naval vs Buelna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
CAS
0 - 0
NAV
62%
23%
16%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
NAV
3 - 1
LAR
48%
26%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
BAR
1 - 1
NAV
46%
28%
27%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
NAV
1 - 1
SMA
37%
27%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
PIL
1 - 1
NAV
47%
26%
27%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Buelna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
BUE
2 - 1
ENA
39%
29%
32%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
TUR
5 - 1
BUE
74%
17%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
MOS
5 - 1
BUE
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
BUE
1 - 1
CAS
36%
29%
35%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
LAR
1 - 0
BUE
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |