Náutico RR vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 0
NAU
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
NAU
1 - 4
MRF
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
NAU
1 - 1
ARO
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
SAO
5 - 1
NAU
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
REC
1 - 1
NAU
18%
17%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 0
PRO
36%
22%
42%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PRO
1 - 2
GAS
18%
18%
64%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 7
NAU
26%
19%
54%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 13
SAO
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ARO
1 - 0
PRO
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |