Náutico RR vs GA Sampaio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 3
NAU
50%
23%
28%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAU
18%
19%
63%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -3 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
NAU
3 - 1
GAS
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 3
NAU
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 4
NAU
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
GA Sampaio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
GAS
1 - 2
RIO
28%
22%
51%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
4 - 0
GAS
77%
15%
9%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
NAU
3 - 1
GAS
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
GAS
2 - 0
ARO
21%
20%
59%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
GAS
77%
15%
9%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |