Náutico vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
NAU
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 3
SAM
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
4 - 1
NAU
59%
24%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRU
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 0
ITU
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 0
NOV
43%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
TOM
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
LON
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ITU
3 - 0
TOM
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 1
TOM
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |