Náutico vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 0
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAU
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CSA
1 - 0
SPO
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
CEN
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
SPO
10%
19%
71%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
CSA
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
4 - 0
SAL
79%
15%
7%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |