Série B Brazil Round 12

Náutico vs Sport Recife analysis

Náutico Sport Recife
71 ELO 74
7.2% Tilt 16.9%
1267º General ELO ranking 130º
54º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
42.5%
Náutico
25.7%
Draw
31.9%
Sport Recife

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
Náutico
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.9%
Win probability
Sport Recife
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Náutico
+7%
-21%
Sport Recife

ELO progression

Náutico
Sport Recife
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2010
NAU
Náutico
0 - 3
CSA
CSA
79%
15%
7%
72 50 22 0
31 Jul. 2010
PAR
Paraná
4 - 0
Náutico
NAU
32%
26%
42%
73 67 6 -1
30 Jul. 2010
BOT
Botafogo PB
1 - 1
Náutico
NAU
16%
20%
64%
73 53 20 0
24 Jul. 2010
NAU
Náutico
3 - 2
Bahía
BAH
60%
23%
17%
73 67 6 0
17 Jul. 2010
AMF
América Mineiro
1 - 2
Náutico
NAU
30%
26%
43%
73 66 7 0

Matches

Sport Recife
Sport Recife
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2010
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 2
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
72%
18%
9%
75 57 18 0
24 Jul. 2010
COT
Coritiba
2 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
48%
26%
26%
75 80 5 0
17 Jul. 2010
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 1
Ponte Preta
PPE
62%
23%
15%
75 66 9 0
14 Jul. 2010
IFC
Ipatinga FC
1 - 3
Sport Recife
SPO
32%
26%
42%
75 66 9 0
05 Jun. 2010
ARN
América RN
0 - 5
Sport Recife
SPO
23%
25%
52%
74 59 15 +1