Série C Final
Global 5-3
Náutico vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 1
JUV
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
JUV
2 - 1
NAU
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 2
PAY
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
PAY
0 - 0
NAU
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
NAU
3 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 0
CON
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CON
0 - 2
SAM
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAM
3 - 2
ECS
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ECS
0 - 0
SAM
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
IMP
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |