Náutico vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
SPO
38%
25%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 0
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAU
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAN
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
CEN
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
4 - 0
SAL
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
3 - 0
AME
73%
18%
10%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |