Pernambucano 1 Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Náutico vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
SER
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAU
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 3
NAU
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 5
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAU
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
SAL
31%
27%
43%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 3
NAU
29%
26%
46%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAL
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPO
15%
22%
64%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |