Náutico vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
NAU
19%
25%
57%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 2
BRA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CRI
0 - 0
NAU
49%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 0
GOI
28%
26%
47%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
POR
4 - 0
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
GOI
0 - 3
PAR
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAL
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
POR
23%
27%
51%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BOA
1 - 2
PAR
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +2 |