Náutico vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
45.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
FLU
3 - 1
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
VIT
4 - 1
NAU
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
NAU
0 - 0
PAY
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
NAU
3 - 1
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
PAL
4 - 1
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1994 |
SAO
2 - 1
PAL
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1994 |
PAL
1 - 1
CEA
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1994 |
CEA
0 - 0
PAL
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |