Náutico vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
BRA
1 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 1
AME
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
NAU
34%
26%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
ANA
1 - 1
MOG
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MOG
1 - 4
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
MOG
3 - 0
AMF
28%
25%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
LON
4 - 2
MOG
71%
18%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2003 |
MOG
2 - 1
POR
16%
25%
60%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |