Náutico vs Manchete FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.4%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.5%
4-0
13.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
16.4%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.1%
1.4%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 1
NAU
7%
15%
79%
|
67 | 26 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SER
1 - 0
NAU
10%
16%
74%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 1
AVA
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
NAU
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
NAU
4 - 1
BAH
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchete FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 2
YPI
31%
24%
45%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
POR
4 - 2
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | 0 |