Náutico vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
NAU
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 2
PAU
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 2
NAU
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 1
CEA
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 1
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
CEA
1 - 1
ITU
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2005 |
ITU
3 - 0
CRI
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2005 |
ITU
1 - 3
PAU
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 1
ITU
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2005 |
ITU
0 - 1
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |