Náutico vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
FLA
3 - 0
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
NAU
1 - 2
SPO
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1975 |
POR
3 - 1
NAU
52%
26%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1975 |
GRE
0 - 0
NAU
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
NAU
3 - 0
CEB
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
SCI
1 - 0
GRE
55%
26%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
SAO
0 - 0
SCI
46%
29%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
SCI
3 - 1
SPO
67%
19%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1975 |
SAN
1 - 0
SCI
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
PAL
0 - 0
SCI
50%
26%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |