Náutico vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 0
COR
22%
31%
48%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 0
NAU
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ATP
6 - 1
NAU
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 1
BAH
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 0
NAU
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
YPI
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
POT
65%
20%
14%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
GUA
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CEN
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |