Náutico vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 0
NAU
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2004 |
NAU
0 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 0
NAU
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 1
JEC
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
REM
3 - 2
NAU
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 0
NAU
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 0
AVA
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAH
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ANA
2 - 0
BAH
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
BAH
2 - 0
PAU
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |