Náutico vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 2
AFO
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
CRB
1 - 1
CSA
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
CRB
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
CSA
3 - 0
CSE
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CSE
1 - 1
CSA
10%
20%
70%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
CSE
2 - 0
CSA
9%
20%
72%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | -1 |