Náutico vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 0
NAU
70%
21%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
NAU
4 - 1
OES
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PPE
2 - 0
NAU
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 0
AMF
24%
30%
45%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 0
MOT
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
BRA
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 3
CSA
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
AVA
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 0
CSA
29%
31%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |